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Signal & Range

Deliverables

What you actually receive

Written assessments, working models, structured frameworks and the analysts who produced them. There is no client platform, no login and no dashboard to operate — the deliverable is the work, and it is yours.

Illustrative structure — sample content, not client work. The structure and standard shown here are real; the content in every mockup is constructed. No client material is reproduced anywhere on this site.

Materiality Matrix

Exposure and materiality position

Vulnerability, exposure and mitigation, held apart

Risks assessed
11
Carried to quantification
5
Documented below the line
6

Exposure & Materiality Matrix

The prioritisation instrument: every assessed risk positioned by plausible severity against your real exposure, with the components shown separately.

Audience
Chief Risk Officer, enterprise risk, strategy, audit.
How it supports a decision
Directs analytical effort and monitoring budget to where consequence actually sits.
Usually combined with
Opens the Executive Risk Report; sets the scope for stress testing.
Scenario Book

Energy transit disruption

Baseline · Downside · Severe · Tail

Variants
4
Channels modelled
6
Assumptions registered
31

Quantified Scenario Book

The full scenario set for a risk: four variants, their assumptions, their transmission paths and their ranges, in a form that can be argued with.

Audience
Risk, strategy and finance teams; anyone who has to defend or challenge the numbers.
How it supports a decision
Makes the reasoning inspectable, so a challenge lands on an assumption rather than on a conclusion.
Usually combined with
Paired with the Financial Stress-Test Model, which implements what the book specifies.
Stress-Test Model

Transmission and impact model

Documented, handed over, re-runnable

Scenario switches
4
Sensitivity controls
9
Handover
Included

Financial Stress-Test Model

The working model that turns scenario assumptions into commercial and financial effects for your specific structure — handed over, documented and re-runnable.

Audience
Finance, treasury, FP&A, model risk.
How it supports a decision
Lets finance re-run the analysis when conditions move, without commissioning new work each time.
Usually combined with
Specified by the Scenario Book; feeds the Board Briefing.
Trigger Framework

Observables, thresholds and escalation

Five adopted indicators from fourteen candidates

Adopted
5
Rejected, with reasons
9
Review cycle
Monthly

Trigger & Indicator Framework

The monitoring architecture: what is watched, at what threshold, by whom, and what happens when a threshold is crossed.

Audience
Risk owners, monitoring teams, crisis management.
How it supports a decision
Converts vigilance into a small number of pre-agreed reasons to reconvene.
Usually combined with
Derived from the Scenario Book; operated under the Monitoring Package.
Executive Risk Report

Geopolitical exposure across the priority footprint

Assessment, quantified scenarios and decision options

Prepared for
Executive Committee
Analytical horizon
24 months
Classification
Confidential

Executive Risk Report

The written assessment of a defined risk position: what is exposed, what could happen, what it plausibly costs and what should be decided.

Audience
Executive committee, Chief Risk Officer, Chief Financial Officer, board risk committee.
How it supports a decision
Gives management a single defensible position it can act on and refer back to when conditions change.
Usually combined with
Usually delivered with the Exposure & Materiality Matrix and a Board Briefing.

How they fit together

A deliverable that arrives alone is the wrong one

A materiality matrix without a scenario book prioritises without quantifying. A range without an assumption register cannot be defended. A trigger framework without a decision attached produces vigilance and nothing else. We scope engagements so the pieces arrive together.

  1. AssessMateriality Matrix · Executive Risk Report
  2. QuantifyScenario Book · Stress-Test Model
  3. WatchTrigger Framework · Monitoring Package
  4. DecideBoard Briefing · Decision framework
  5. InstitutionaliseMethodology Handbook · Custom Index

Not every engagement runs the full sequence. Many stop after quantification, and some begin at the last step because the organisation already knows what it is exposed to.

Each deliverable is produced under the standards set out in our methodology — evidence grading, separate confidence reporting, assumption registers and named analyst ownership.

Read the methodology